Back to DWCS 5.2
Main Bantamweight

Saimon Oliveira vs Jose Alday

DWCS 5.2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Saimon Oliveira
Jose Alday
67% 33%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Oliveira: 47 sig / 3 TD · Alday: 47 sig / 0 TD
Saimon Oliveira
Jose Alday
37
Sig strikes landed
36
77
Sig strikes attempted
76
52
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
135s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Saimon Oliveira

0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Jose Alday

"Pochito"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30