Back to UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland
Main Featherweight

Collin Anglin vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Collin Anglin
Melsik Baghdasaryan
60% 40%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
28
Age
Δ 1y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Anglin: 25 sig / 1 TD · Baghdasaryan: 44 sig / 0 TD
Collin Anglin
Melsik Baghdasaryan
35
Sig strikes landed
35
72
Sig strikes attempted
71
48
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
143s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Collin Anglin

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Melsik Baghdasaryan

"The Gun"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30