Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bryan Barberena
Jason Witt
56%
44%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
32
Age
Δ 2y
35
19-12
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-10
W1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Barberena: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Witt: 35 sig / 8 TD
Bryan Barberena
Jason Witt
50
Sig strikes landed
37
94
Sig strikes attempted
73
75
Total strikes landed
50
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
78s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
19-12
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jason Witt
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
19-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—