Main
Bantamweight
Kyler Phillips vs Raulian Paiva
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kyler Phillips
Raulian Paiva
42%
58%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
13-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
22-5
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Phillips: 74 sig / 4 TD ·
Paiva: 51 sig / 2 TD
Kyler Phillips
Raulian Paiva
49
Sig strikes landed
51
124
Sig strikes attempted
134
65
Total strikes landed
68
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
125s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Kyler Phillips
"The Matrix"
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
Blue corner
W2
Raulian Paiva
22-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—