Back to UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Main Featherweight

Darren Elkins vs Darrick Minner

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Darren Elkins
Darrick Minner
60% 40%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
37
Age
Δ 6y
31
30-12
Career record
Δ 6 pp
27-14
W1
Current streak
W2
23
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Elkins: 20 sig / 1 TD · Minner: 19 sig / 2 TD
Darren Elkins
Darrick Minner
19
Sig strikes landed
32
49
Sig strikes attempted
67
62
Total strikes landed
55
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
5.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
202s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Darren Elkins

"The Damage"
30-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 23 fights · 15-8
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
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L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
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L UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
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L UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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Blue corner
W2

Darrick Minner

27-14
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
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W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
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