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Gabriel Benitez vs Billy Quarantillo

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Gabriel Benitez
Billy Quarantillo
49% 51%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
24-13
Career record
Δ 4 pp
18-8
W1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Benitez: 57 sig / 0 TD · Quarantillo: 100 sig / 3 TD
Gabriel Benitez
Billy Quarantillo
49
Sig strikes landed
54
111
Sig strikes attempted
108
59
Total strikes landed
78
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
68s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gabriel Benitez

"Moggly"
24-13
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
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L UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
L1

Billy Quarantillo

18-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—