Prelims1
Welterweight
Daniel Rodriguez vs Preston Parsons
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Rodriguez
Preston Parsons
68%
32%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
W1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rodriguez: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Parsons: 23 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Rodriguez
Preston Parsons
59
Sig strikes landed
48
114
Sig strikes attempted
109
66
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
83s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
21-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
Blue corner
Preston Parsons
"Pressure"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26