Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Lemos vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Amanda Lemos
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
60%
40%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
61"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-5
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lemos: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Ruiz: 3 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Lemos
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
21
Sig strikes landed
17
41
Sig strikes attempted
50
46
Total strikes landed
42
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.9
0.2
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
98s
Control time
302s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Amanda Lemos
16-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
Blue corner
W1
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
11-5
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
61"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—