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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Khalid Taha vs Sergey Morozov

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Khalid Taha
Sergey Morozov
52% 48%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
13-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-6
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taha: 33 sig / 0 TD · Morozov: 50 sig / 6 TD
Khalid Taha
Sergey Morozov
36
Sig strikes landed
35
98
Sig strikes attempted
81
55
Total strikes landed
46
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
78s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Khalid Taha

"The Warrior"
13-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
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W UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
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L UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
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Blue corner
L1

Sergey Morozov

19-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
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