Prelims1
Lightweight
Roosevelt Roberts vs Ignacio Bahamondes
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roosevelt Roberts
Ignacio Bahamondes
39%
61%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
28
Age
Δ 4y
24
12-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-8
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Roberts: 55 sig / 0 TD ·
Bahamondes: 105 sig / 0 TD
Roosevelt Roberts
Ignacio Bahamondes
64
Sig strikes landed
48
129
Sig strikes attempted
144
78
Total strikes landed
75
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
7.2
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
12-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
17-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—