Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
William Knight vs Fabio Cherant
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
William Knight
Fabio Cherant
60%
40%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
33
Age
Δ 7y
27
11-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
7-5
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Knight: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Cherant: 15 sig / 0 TD
William Knight
Fabio Cherant
31
Sig strikes landed
34
55
Sig strikes attempted
106
40
Total strikes landed
45
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.5
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
195s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
William Knight
"Knightmare"
11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
Blue corner
L1
Fabio Cherant
"Water Buffalo"
7-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—