Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Prelims1 Welterweight

Sasha Palatnikov vs Ramiz Brahimaj

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Sasha Palatnikov
Ramiz Brahimaj
42% 58%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
32
Age
Δ 4y
29
6-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Palatnikov: 1 sig / 0 TD · Brahimaj: 1 sig / 2 TD
Sasha Palatnikov
Ramiz Brahimaj
51
Sig strikes landed
56
109
Sig strikes attempted
116
66
Total strikes landed
68
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
82s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Sasha Palatnikov

6-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
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Blue corner
L1

Ramiz Brahimaj

13-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—