Back to UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Bea Malecki vs Josiane Nunes

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Bea Malecki
Josiane Nunes
48% 52%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 7"
67"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
W2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Malecki: 35 sig / 0 TD · Nunes: 52 sig / 0 TD
Bea Malecki
Josiane Nunes
43
Sig strikes landed
45
89
Sig strikes attempted
97
53
Total strikes landed
90
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
126s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
29%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Bea Malecki

5-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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Blue corner

Josiane Nunes

"Josi"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28