Prelims1
Bantamweight
Brian Kelleher vs Domingo Pilarte
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brian Kelleher
Domingo Pilarte
58%
42%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 8"
74"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
24-17
Career record
Δ 14 pp
8-3
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kelleher: 28 sig / 3 TD ·
Pilarte: 3 sig / 0 TD
Brian Kelleher
Domingo Pilarte
31
Sig strikes landed
27
57
Sig strikes attempted
57
103
Total strikes landed
43
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
307s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
24-17
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
Blue corner
L1
Domingo Pilarte
"Son of Fire"
8-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—