Prelims1
Featherweight
Austin Lingo vs Luis Saldana
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Austin Lingo
Luis Saldana
54%
46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31
10-3
Career record
Δ 9 pp
17-7-1
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lingo: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Saldana: 77 sig / 0 TD
Austin Lingo
Luis Saldana
43
Sig strikes landed
46
109
Sig strikes attempted
111
58
Total strikes landed
62
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
73s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Austin Lingo
"Lights Out"
10-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
W1
Luis Saldana
17-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—