Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Uros Medic
Jalin Turner
65%
35%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 6"
77"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
14-3
Career record
Δ 18 pp
16-9
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Medic: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Turner: 25 sig / 1 TD
Uros Medic
Jalin Turner
44
Sig strikes landed
41
89
Sig strikes attempted
95
49
Total strikes landed
48
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
14-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
W2
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—