Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Roxanne Modafferi vs Taila Santos
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Roxanne Modafferi
Taila Santos
15%
85%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
39
Age
Δ 11y
28
25-22
Career record
Δ 34 pp
20-3
L1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Modafferi: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Santos: 55 sig / 5 TD
Roxanne Modafferi
Taila Santos
44
Sig strikes landed
56
120
Sig strikes attempted
136
85
Total strikes landed
90
1.6
Takedowns landed
2.7
5.2
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
223s
Control time
265s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25-22
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
W2
Taila Santos
20-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—