Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cody Brundage
Nick Maximov
39%
61%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
27
Age
Δ 4y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brundage: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Maximov: 14 sig / 4 TD
Cody Brundage
Nick Maximov
35
Sig strikes landed
36
69
Sig strikes attempted
75
51
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cody Brundage
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Nick Maximov
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24