Prelims1
Heavyweight
Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Chris Daukaus
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Chris Daukaus
55%
45%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
40
Age
Δ 8y
32
20-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Abdurakhimov: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Daukaus: 38 sig / 0 TD
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Chris Daukaus
20
Sig strikes landed
24
44
Sig strikes attempted
57
27
Total strikes landed
31
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
96s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
13%
KO/TKO
80%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Shamil Abdurakhimov
"Abrek"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
Blue corner
W3
Chris Daukaus
13-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—