Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Miles Johns
Anderson Dos Santos
61%
39%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
27
Age
Δ 9y
36
16-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-9
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Johns: 80 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Santos: 32 sig / 0 TD
Miles Johns
Anderson Dos Santos
41
Sig strikes landed
30
86
Sig strikes attempted
82
57
Total strikes landed
47
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
84s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
16-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
Blue corner
W1
Anderson Dos Santos
"Berinja"
22-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—