Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vince Morales
Drako Rodriguez
55%
45%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25
16-12
Career record
Δ 6 pp
7-4
L2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Morales: 76 sig / 1 TD ·
Rodriguez: 55 sig / 3 TD
Vince Morales
Drako Rodriguez
44
Sig strikes landed
40
112
Sig strikes attempted
107
63
Total strikes landed
55
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
101s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Vince Morales
"Vandetta"
16-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
Blue corner
L1
Drako Rodriguez
7-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—