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Prelims1 Featherweight

Sean Woodson vs Youssef Zalal

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Sean Woodson
Youssef Zalal
49% 51%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
13-3-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-7-1
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Woodson: 40 sig / 0 TD · Zalal: 42 sig / 2 TD
Sean Woodson
Youssef Zalal
59
Sig strikes landed
69
121
Sig strikes attempted
137
78
Total strikes landed
100
0.0
Takedowns landed
2.7
0.4
Takedowns attempted
11.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
33s
Control time
222s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Sean Woodson

"The Sniper"
13-3-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
L2

Youssef Zalal

"The Moroccan Devil"
18-7-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—