Prelims1
Lightweight
Claudio Puelles vs Jordan Leavitt
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Claudio Puelles
Jordan Leavitt
62%
38%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
14-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-3
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Puelles: 20 sig / 4 TD ·
Leavitt: 21 sig / 2 TD
Claudio Puelles
Jordan Leavitt
15
Sig strikes landed
20
35
Sig strikes attempted
30
42
Total strikes landed
38
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
271s
Control time
384s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Claudio Puelles
"Prince of Peru"
14-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
14-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—