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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Manon Fiorot vs Tabatha Ricci

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Manon Fiorot
Tabatha Ricci
56% 44%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
61"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Fiorot: 84 sig / 1 TD · Ricci: 17 sig / 0 TD
Manon Fiorot
Tabatha Ricci
51
Sig strikes landed
31
104
Sig strikes attempted
79
73
Total strikes landed
59
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
150s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Manon Fiorot

"The Beast"
14-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
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Blue corner

Tabatha Ricci

"Baby Shark"
0-0
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26