Back to UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Main Middleweight

Dusko Todorovic vs Gregory Rodrigues

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Dusko Todorovic
Gregory Rodrigues
47% 53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Todorovic: 37 sig / 0 TD · Rodrigues: 71 sig / 3 TD
Dusko Todorovic
Gregory Rodrigues
48
Sig strikes landed
40
95
Sig strikes attempted
94
62
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dusko Todorovic

"Thunder"
13-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
Blue corner

Gregory Rodrigues

"Robocop"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29