Prelims1
Welterweight
Francisco Trinaldo vs Muslim Salikhov
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Francisco Trinaldo
Muslim Salikhov
57%
43%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
43
Age
Δ 6y
37
29-9
Career record
Δ 3 pp
23-6
W3
Current streak
W4
22
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Trinaldo: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Salikhov: 62 sig / 2 TD
Francisco Trinaldo
Muslim Salikhov
39
Sig strikes landed
41
83
Sig strikes attempted
81
47
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
104s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
29-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
43
In our database
22 fights · 16-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W4
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
23-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—