Prelims1
Featherweight
Makwan Amirkhani vs Kamuela Kirk
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Makwan Amirkhani
Kamuela Kirk
56%
44%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
L1
Current streak
—
9
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Amirkhani: 20 sig / 5 TD ·
Kirk: 28 sig / 0 TD
Makwan Amirkhani
Kamuela Kirk
27
Sig strikes landed
29
60
Sig strikes attempted
57
43
Total strikes landed
44
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.1
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
214s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
Blue corner
Kamuela Kirk
"The Jawaiian"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
27