Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tanner Boser
Ilir Latifi
76%
24%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
30
Age
Δ 9y
39
22-12-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L3
5
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Boser: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Latifi: 10 sig / 2 TD
Tanner Boser
Ilir Latifi
39
Sig strikes landed
23
76
Sig strikes attempted
53
51
Total strikes landed
33
-0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
-0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
1s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tanner Boser
"The Bulldozer"
22-12-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
L3
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
17-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—