Back to UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Main Middleweight

Roman Dolidze vs Laureano Staropoli

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
Laureano Staropoli
72% 28%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
15-6
Career record
Δ 11 pp
9-6
L1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dolidze: 14 sig / 5 TD · Staropoli: 9 sig / 3 TD
Roman Dolidze
Laureano Staropoli
55
Sig strikes landed
39
120
Sig strikes attempted
104
71
Total strikes landed
54
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
264s
Control time
42s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Roman Dolidze

15-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
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Blue corner
L2

Laureano Staropoli

"Pepi"
9-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—