Prelims1
Welterweight
Khaos Williams vs Matthew Semelsberger
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Khaos Williams
Matthew Semelsberger
72%
28%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
27
Age
Δ 1y
29
16-6
Career record
Δ 13 pp
12-8
L1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Williams: 91 sig / 0 TD ·
Semelsberger: 64 sig / 0 TD
Khaos Williams
Matthew Semelsberger
44
Sig strikes landed
37
105
Sig strikes attempted
82
49
Total strikes landed
36
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
92s
Control time
17s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
W2
Matthew Semelsberger
"Semi The Jedi"
12-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—