Back to UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Kanako Murata vs Virna Jandiroba

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Kanako Murata
Virna Jandiroba
43% 57%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
13-3
Career record
Δ 1 pp
23-5
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Murata: 23 sig / 0 TD · Jandiroba: 36 sig / 0 TD
Kanako Murata
Virna Jandiroba
21
Sig strikes landed
25
44
Sig strikes attempted
82
59
Total strikes landed
59
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
210s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
60%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Kanako Murata

13-3
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
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Blue corner
L1

Virna Jandiroba

"Carcara"
23-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
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L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
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