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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Aleksa Camur vs Nicolae Negumereanu

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Aleksa Camur
Nicolae Negumereanu
44% 56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
6-4
Career record
Δ 21 pp
13-3
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Camur: 102 sig / 0 TD · Negumereanu: 71 sig / 1 TD
Aleksa Camur
Nicolae Negumereanu
34
Sig strikes landed
31
68
Sig strikes attempted
57
53
Total strikes landed
45
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
89s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Aleksa Camur

6-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
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Blue corner
L1

Nicolae Negumereanu

13-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—