Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Joaquim Silva
Ricky Glenn
48%
52%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
14-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
22-10-2
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Glenn: 10 sig / 0 TD
Joaquim Silva
Ricky Glenn
48
Sig strikes landed
52
108
Sig strikes attempted
121
55
Total strikes landed
66
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.80
74s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
14-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ricky Glenn
"The Gladiator"
22-10-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—