Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Wellington Turman
Bruno Silva
68%
32%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
25
Age
Δ 7y
32
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Turman: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 19 sig / 0 TD
Wellington Turman
Bruno Silva
36
Sig strikes landed
37
78
Sig strikes attempted
75
56
Total strikes landed
56
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
220s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Wellington Turman
"The Prodigy"
18-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
Blue corner
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32