Prelims2
Lightweight
Fares Ziam vs Luigi Vendramini
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
·Gila River Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Fares Ziam
Luigi Vendramini
71%
29%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
24
Age
Δ 1y
25
19-4
Career record
Δ 6 pp
10-3
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Ziam: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Vendramini: 34 sig / 1 TD
Fares Ziam
Luigi Vendramini
32
Sig strikes landed
22
58
Sig strikes attempted
53
49
Total strikes landed
43
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
134s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Fares Ziam
"The Smile Killer"
19-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
Blue corner
W1
Luigi Vendramini
"The Italian Stallion"
10-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—