Prelims2
Featherweight
Chase Hooper vs Steven Peterson
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
·Gila River Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chase Hooper
Steven Peterson
76%
24%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
22
Age
Δ 9y
31
17-5-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
20-11
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hooper: 31 sig / 3 TD ·
Peterson: 49 sig / 1 TD
Chase Hooper
Steven Peterson
59
Sig strikes landed
47
137
Sig strikes attempted
107
71
Total strikes landed
76
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.4
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
129s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
17-5-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
L
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
Blue corner
W1
Steven Peterson
"Ocho"
20-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—