Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Lauren Murphy vs Joanne Wood
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
·Gila River Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Lauren Murphy
Joanne Wood
53%
47%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
38
Age
Δ 2y
36
17-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-8
W4
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Murphy: 80 sig / 1 TD ·
Wood: 123 sig / 0 TD
Lauren Murphy
Joanne Wood
66
Sig strikes landed
75
158
Sig strikes attempted
155
90
Total strikes landed
95
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
189s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Lauren Murphy
"Lucky"
17-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
W1
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
18-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—