Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Eryk Anders vs Darren Stewart
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
·Gila River Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Eryk Anders
Darren Stewart
64%
36%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
18-9
Career record
Δ 7 pp
12-8
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Anders: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Stewart: 33 sig / 2 TD
Eryk Anders
Darren Stewart
43
Sig strikes landed
34
88
Sig strikes attempted
72
60
Total strikes landed
45
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
143s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
18-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
L1
Darren Stewart
"The Dentist"
12-8
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—