🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
·Gila River Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno
66%
34%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
25-7-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
23-10-3
D1
Current streak
D1
11
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Figueiredo: 24 sig / 1 TD ·
Moreno: 47 sig / 2 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno
44
Sig strikes landed
41
99
Sig strikes attempted
101
54
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.70
Knockdowns
0.20
100s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
25-7-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 9-1
Last 5
D
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
Blue corner
D1
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
23-10-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
10 fights · 6-2
Last 5
D
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—