Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Jennifer Maia vs Jessica Eye
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jennifer Maia
Jessica Eye
75%
25%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
21-11-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
15-12
L1
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maia: 98 sig / 0 TD ·
Eye: 100 sig / 2 TD
Jennifer Maia
Jessica Eye
67
Sig strikes landed
62
152
Sig strikes attempted
158
96
Total strikes landed
83
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
174s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jennifer Maia
21-11-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
Blue corner
L2
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
15-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 5-8
Last 5
L
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—