Prelims1
Middleweight
Trevin Giles vs Dricus Du Plessis
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
Dricus Du Plessis
26%
74%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
17-7
Career record
Δ 18 pp
24-3
W3
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Giles: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Du Plessis: 25 sig / 2 TD
Trevin Giles
Dricus Du Plessis
31
Sig strikes landed
35
65
Sig strikes attempted
77
31
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
57s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
18%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Trevin Giles
17-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
24-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—