Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Julia Avila vs Julija Stoliarenko

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Julia Avila
Julija Stoliarenko
65% 35%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
9-5
Career record
Δ 18 pp
11-11-2
L1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Avila: 48 sig / 1 TD · Stoliarenko: 40 sig / 1 TD
Julia Avila
Julija Stoliarenko
45
Sig strikes landed
36
108
Sig strikes attempted
87
78
Total strikes landed
62
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
171s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Julia Avila

"Raging Panda"
9-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
W UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
Blue corner
L2

Julija Stoliarenko

11-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—