Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Danilo Marques
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Danilo Marques
67%
33%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 6"
77"
29
Age
Δ 6y
36
15-6-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
12-4
W2
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Nzechukwu: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Marques: 10 sig / 2 TD
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Danilo Marques
32
Sig strikes landed
27
60
Sig strikes attempted
49
42
Total strikes landed
37
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.1
0.1
Takedowns attempted
7.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
68s
Control time
340s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Kennedy Nzechukwu
"Chosen"
15-6-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W2
Danilo Marques
12-4
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—