Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tanner Boser
Ovince Saint Preux
72%
28%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
30
Age
Δ 8y
38
22-12-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
27-19
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Boser: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Saint Preux: 9 sig / 1 TD
Tanner Boser
Ovince Saint Preux
48
Sig strikes landed
30
93
Sig strikes attempted
64
57
Total strikes landed
41
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
54s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Tanner Boser
"The Bulldozer"
22-12-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
Blue corner
L1
Ovince Saint Preux
27-19
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
23 fights · 13-10
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—