Main
Middleweight
Sean Strickland vs Krzysztof Jotko
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sean Strickland
Krzysztof Jotko
75%
25%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
32-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
25-6
W3
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Strickland: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Jotko: 37 sig / 0 TD
Sean Strickland
Krzysztof Jotko
59
Sig strikes landed
52
151
Sig strikes attempted
122
79
Total strikes landed
63
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
96s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
Blue corner
W3
Krzysztof Jotko
25-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—