Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Cub Swanson
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
33
Age
Δ 5y
38
16-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
32-14
W5
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Chikadze: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Swanson: 4 sig / 0 TD
Giga Chikadze
Cub Swanson
61
Sig strikes landed
71
144
Sig strikes attempted
126
62
Total strikes landed
70
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
32s
Control time
47s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Cub Swanson
32-14
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
19 fights · 12-7
Last 5
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—