Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jordan Wright
Jamie Pickett
72%
28%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
80"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
12-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
13-12
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Wright: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Pickett: 4 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Wright
Jamie Pickett
36
Sig strikes landed
26
75
Sig strikes attempted
51
52
Total strikes landed
34
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
109s
Control time
57s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jordan Wright
"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
12-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jamie Pickett
"The Night Wolf"
13-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—