Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Andrea Lee vs Antonina Shevchenko
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Andrea Lee
Antonina Shevchenko
53%
47%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
32
Age
Δ 4y
36
13-12
Career record
Δ 21 pp
11-4
L3
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Lee: 45 sig / 3 TD ·
Shevchenko: 23 sig / 0 TD
Andrea Lee
Antonina Shevchenko
46
Sig strikes landed
55
89
Sig strikes attempted
114
71
Total strikes landed
94
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
173s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
Blue corner
W1
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
11-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—