Main
Heavyweight
Maurice Greene vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Maurice Greene
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
37%
63%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
75"
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
9-8
Career record
Δ 12 pp
22-11-1
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Greene: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Rogerio de Lima: 14 sig / 3 TD
Maurice Greene
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
21
Sig strikes landed
27
41
Sig strikes attempted
50
34
Total strikes landed
49
-0.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
7s
Control time
223s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
63%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Maurice Greene
"The Crochet Boss"
9-8
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
L1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
22-11-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—