Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Joe Solecki
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
38
Age
Δ 10y
28
39-20
Career record
Δ 4 pp
14-6
L1
Current streak
W2
31
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Solecki: 19 sig / 1 TD
Jim Miller
Joe Solecki
18
Sig strikes landed
29
43
Sig strikes attempted
63
32
Total strikes landed
66
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
106s
Control time
353s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
31 fights · 17-13
Last 5
L
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
W2
Joe Solecki
14-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—